Skip to content
← News

Glasshouse enters closed alpha.

Glasshouse rehearses decisions against a simulated public. M&A, capex announcements, crisis responses, policy packages, activist plays, GTM repricings, anything where the cost of being wrong arrives faster than the time it takes to course-correct. Today it opens to a small cohort of design partners.

A simulated cohort surrounding a decision // THE DECISION N = 240 PERSONAS CONFIDENCE 0.71 PUBLIC RECORD · POST-CUTOFF RUN · exp-recover-sprint-g a cohort · a decision · pinned to a canonical run

We have been running Glasshouse internally for eighteen months. Every public decision Creative Human itself has made: pricing, positioning, two leadership pivots, went through it before it went out the door. The platform is also the engine behind five public-record rehearsals already on file: Alphabet's Q4 capex framing, the UnitedHealth crisis response, Seven & i / Couche-Tard, Broadcom-VMware, and the German Kraftstoffmaßnahmenpaket. Each was constructed from material available before the event being rehearsed; each output is canonically pinned.

Closed alpha means: ten teams, hands-on co-design, named-partner support. The product is not waitlisted-and-forgotten: every alpha team gets a Creative Human engineer attached for the duration, and every run feeds the calibration loop that the next batch inherits.

What a rehearsal produces

One Glasshouse run is five stages. Each stage produces an artifact the next stage depends on, and each artifact is inspectable in the report.

01 / Seeds

Seeds

The decision document is parsed and typeset, the inputs the rest of the run will be evaluated against.

02 / Graph

Graph

Stakeholders, their relationships, their leverage points. Built from the decision and the public record.

03 / Personas

Personas

Each stakeholder is given an inspectable persona: disclosure, priors, constraints, vocabulary.

04 / Simulation

Simulation

Reactions are sampled across the cohort. Narrative-share bands form; minority views surface.

05 / Report

Report

Verdict, confidence band, pre- and post-decision matrix, pushback phrases, and the cohort coverage audit.

The report is the deliverable. Five surface tile types make it readable: here is what each one looks like, drawn from one of the rehearsals on file.

Decision Matrix

The first tile a decision-maker sees. Three to five framings, each scored against the simulated cohort, ranked by confidence band. The recommended option is not always the highest-confidence one: sometimes the answer is "the second-best option, because the highest-confidence one has a minority view we cannot afford to ignore."

Tile · decision matrix · Alphabet Q4 announcement-sim

// option scores · n = 240 personas
How should the Q4 capex increase be framed?
"Reinvesting through the cycle" HIGH · 0.71
"AI-led capacity build" MED · 0.54
"Catching up to peers" LOW · 0.22 · destructive minority view
canonical run · runs/exp-recover-sprint-g/run-1 · pin SHA 4f7c3a2

Persona pull-quote

Each tile drills down. Tap a persona, get the verbatim: the line that persona would write, in their voice, about the option in front of them. Useful when the decision-maker needs to sense-check the simulation's read against a stakeholder they actually know.

Tile · persona pull-quote

Sell-side analyst Persona #042 Tech sector · large-cap coverage · 11 yrs · skeptical of capex narratives

If they cannot point to which workloads the spend underwrites by Q3, this is going to read as discretionary. The market has a tolerance for ambition; it does not have a tolerance for vagueness about return on it.

Confidence verdict

The headline output. One sentence, one confidence value, the exact sample size that produced it. Glasshouse refuses to round. If a verdict is HIGH at 0.71, it says 0.71.

Tile · verdict + confidence band

// final verdict · announcement-sim

"Reinvesting through the cycle" is the option the simulated cohort accepts as a credible framing of a costly decision.

Confidence 0.71 · HIGH n = 240 · 13.4 min runtime

Pushback phrases

The other half of the report. The simulated cohort produces real-language objections, the specific sentences the most adversarial readers would write. Useful for IR scripts, prep documents, and pre-mortems. If a phrase shows up here, it is going to show up on the call.

Tile · pushback phrases · top 4 of 18

// phrases that would land hardest
  • "This is a confession, not a strategy." frequency 0.18 · sell-side analyst cluster
  • "Where is the unit economics on this AI capex?" frequency 0.14 · long-only PM cluster
  • "They are buying optionality at a price the cycle does not justify." frequency 0.11 · macro hedge cluster
  • "Reinvesting through the cycle is the same answer Meta gave in 2022." frequency 0.09 · sell-side analyst cluster

What closed alpha includes

  • One named Creative Human engineer attached for the duration of the engagement, not a support queue.
  • Up to twelve scenario rehearsals over the alpha window, with custom persona libraries per cohort.
  • Methodology disclosure on every run: calibration history, persona provenance, confidence-band inputs, written for the security and audit reviews enterprise buyers actually run.
  • Direct pipeline into the platform roadmap. What alpha partners need next is what we ship next.

Who it is for

Three kinds of decision-makers, mapped to the buyer archetypes Glasshouse was built around. CFOs and IR leads stress-testing announcement framings. CCOs and General Counsels war-gaming crisis response language. Hedge-fund event desks and policy ministries rehearsing decisions where the public record is the adversarial reader.

The methodology disclosure stays. The output is post-cutoff. The personas are inspectable. If you cannot show the work, do not show the answer.

Alpha is by application. The gate is fit, not seniority: we want decisions that are unambiguous, time-boxed, and recordable. Apply via /contact and reference "alpha"; we will reply within two business days.